Trends · NFL · by stat
Which numbers do the books find hardest to set?
A well-priced number sits near a coin flip, and most of them do. Across this week's board the stats spread 9 points apart on how often players clear them, and the books disagree most on passing yards — an average of 6.19 between the highest and lowest number posted, against 0 on interceptions thrown.
6.19
Passing Yards · books apart
How often the over lands, by stat
- Passing TDs53%137/25927 props
- Rush + Rec Yards51%134/26527 props
- Carries50%232/46348 props
- Receiving Yards50%666/1340143 props
- Rushing Yards49%316/64469 props
- Passing Yards48%130/26928 props
- Interceptions Thrown47%118/24926 props
- Receptions47%566/1216130 props
- Completions45%121/26828 props
- Pass Attempts44%119/26928 props
How far apart the books are
- Passing Yards6.1927 props
- Rush + Rec Yards2.7423 props
- Receiving Yards2.31129 props
- Rushing Yards2.364 props
- Completions0.727 props
- Pass Attempts0.6127 props
- Carries0.4442 props
- Receptions0.22126 props
- Passing TDs0.1127 props
- Interceptions Thrown026 props
The wider the gap, the more the number you are offered depends on which app you opened. That comparison is what the Line Shop is for.
How this was counted
The first table pools every prop's ten-game rate by stat, one vote per prop rather than one per book. A stat needs at least five props on the board before it appears.
The second is the average distance between the highest and lowest number posted for the same prop, in that stat's own units. It measures how far apart the books are, not who is right.
Every figure here is a count of games already played. It is not a forecast, and nothing on this page is a recommendation about this week's games.
Recomputed with the nightly board, Oct 22, 3:31 PM ET. Game logs from nflverse, CC BY 4.0.