NFL board · Thu Oct 22

14 games · 554 props

Ranked by weighted hit rate. The DPB Signal beside it is a provisional model estimate.

19

props at 90%+

Under 13.5 Rush Yds
DEN @ ARI

What a plan would have told you

Brock Purdy · over 18.5 rushing yards

SF @ ATL · posted by DraftKings

Last 10 · free80% 8/10
home and away split · with a plan17% 1/6

Brock Purdy cleared the over of 18.5 in 8 of his last 10 (80%). In the same home or away spot it is 1 of 6 (17%). The two windows disagree. Neither is a forecast, and the gap between them is a question to look into, not an answer.

Picked from the current board by the size of the disagreement, not by hand. Past counts, not a forecast.

Under 1.5 Pass TD
DEN @ ARI
Under 3.5 Receptions
SEA vs KC

Showing 30 of 547 props

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

A rate is how often the player finished above that line over that many games, pushes excluded. The average is how far above or below the line he finished; a high rate on a thin average is amber. Lines are a snapshot from The Odds API, last pulled Oct 22, 3:31 PM ET, pulled each morning and again before kickoff, so a number can have moved since. All times ET. How the numbers are made.