← NBA board

Ajay Mitchell

OKC vs DEN · Thu 9:40 PM ET

Points · 11.5 · median of 12 books ·

60%over6 / 10 · last 10
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
4 straight under

Last 10 games against 11.5 · Apr 25, 2026 – Oct 20, 2026

Worst miss -9.5
11.52026-04-25 at PHX: 15, over 11.5 by 3.515PHX2026-04-27 at PHX: 22, over 11.5 by 10.522PHX2026-05-05 vs LAL: 18, over 11.5 by 6.518LAL2026-05-07 vs LAL: 20, over 11.5 by 8.520LAL2026-05-09 at LAL: 24, over 11.5 by 12.524LAL2026-05-11 at LAL: 28, over 11.5 by 16.528LAL2026-05-18 vs SAS: 4, under 11.5 by 7.54SAS2026-05-20 vs SAS: 10, under 11.5 by 1.510SAS2026-05-22 at SAS: 2, under 11.5 by 9.52SAS2026-10-20 at SAS: 4, under 11.5 by 7.54SAS
Each game against 11.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2026-04-25PHX15 over+3.5
2026-04-27PHX22 over+10.5
2026-05-05LAL18 over+6.5
2026-05-07LAL20 over+8.5
2026-05-09LAL24 over+12.5
2026-05-11LAL28 over+16.5
2026-05-18SAS4 under−7.5
2026-05-20SAS10 under−1.5
2026-05-22SAS2 under−9.5
2026-10-20SAS4 under−7.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% over+3.2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026–27) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

12 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the over: 10.5 · best price PX2 -129
  • betPARX 10.5 -129 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
  • Bally Bet 10.5 -130 (easiest number)
  • BetRivers 10.5 -130 (easiest number)
  • FanDuel 10.5 -130 (easiest number)
  • Fliff 10.5 -140 (easiest number)
  • Hard Rock Bet 11.5 +100
  • Caesars 11.5 +100
  • DraftKings 11.5 -102
  • BetMGM 11.5 -105
  • ESPN Bet 11.5 -105
  • DK Pick6 11.5
  • PrizePicks 11.5

Line movement

  • Bally BetMoved from 11.5 to 10.5
  • betPARXMoved from 11.5 to 10.5
  • BetRiversMoved from 11.5 to 10.5
  • FanDuelMoved from 11.5 to 10.5
  • FliffMoved from 11.5 to 10.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 11.5
2026-10-20@ SAS4under
2026-05-22@ SAS2under
2026-05-20vs SAS10under
2026-05-18vs SAS4under
2026-05-11@ LAL28over
2026-05-09@ LAL24over
2026-05-07vs LAL20over
2026-05-05vs LAL18over
2026-04-27@ PHX22over
2026-04-25@ PHX15over
2026-04-22vs PHX14over
2026-04-19vs PHX9under
2026-04-08@ LAC7under
2026-04-07@ LAL9under
2026-04-05vs UTA7under
2026-04-02vs LAL10under
2026-03-30vs DET14over
2026-03-29vs NYK8under
2026-03-27vs CHI15over
2026-03-25@ BOS8under
2026-03-21@ WAS14over
2026-03-18@ BKN10under
2026-03-17@ ORL16over
2026-03-15vs MIN11under
2026-03-12vs BOS15over
2026-03-09vs DEN24over
2026-01-21@ MIL18over
2026-01-19@ CLE5under
2026-01-17@ MIA15over
2026-01-15@ HOU17over