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Austin Simmons

Missouri @ Mississippi State · Sat 7:45 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 4.5 · median of 2 books

58Signal · over 4.583% · 5 / 6 · last 10 · props like this landed
5 / 6Cleared the number in 5 of 6 games, 4 without a result

Last 10 games against 4.5

Worst miss -6
4.5No resultNo resultNo resultNo result2025-08-30 vs Georgia State: 17, over 4.5 by 12.5 yds17Georgia State2025-09-06 at Kentucky: 44, over 4.5 by 39.5 yds44Kentucky2025-09-13 vs Arkansas: 8, over 4.5 by 3.5 yds8Arkansas2025-11-08 vs The Citadel: 8, over 4.5 by 3.5 yds8The Citadel2026-09-04 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff: -2, under 4.5 by 6.5 yds-2Arkansas-Pine Bluff2026-09-12 at Kansas: 8, over 4.5 by 3.5 yds8Kansas
Each game against 4.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-08-30Georgia State17 over+12.5
2025-09-06Kentucky44 over+39.5
2025-09-13Arkansas8 over+3.5
2025-11-08The Citadel8 over+3.5
2026-09-04Arkansas-Pine Bluff-2 under−6.5
2026-09-12Kansas8 over+3.5

The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)
Last 105 / 683% over+9
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)
This season (with DPB Pro)
Away (with DPB Pro)

See whether the 83% survives the other windows → Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.

Book Range

4.52 books, no line disagreementFD · PP

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 4.5
2026-09-12@ Kansas8over
2026-09-04vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-2under
2025-11-08vs The Citadel8over
2025-09-13vs Arkansas8over
2025-09-06@ Kentucky44over
2025-08-30vs Georgia State17over