Tyler Shough

NO vs PIT · Sun 9:30 AM ET

Interceptions Thrown · 0.5 · median of 4 books ·

51Signal · under 0.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

4 / 10

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 39.2 a game recently

Expected interceptions thrown: 0.8 against 0.5 · over 49%, under 51%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 0.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -1.5 on the under

Each game against 0.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-12-14	CAR	0 under	−0.5
2025-12-21	NYJ	0 under	−0.5
2025-12-28	TEN	0 under	−0.5
2026-01-04	ATL	1 over	+0.5
2026-09-13	DET	2 over	+1.5
2026-09-20	BAL	0 under	−0.5
2026-09-27	LV	1 over	+0.5
2026-10-05	ATL	0 under	−0.5
2026-10-11	MIN	2 over	+1.5
2026-10-18	NYG	0 under	−0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	6 / 10	60% under	-0.1
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

0.54 books, no line disagreementMGM · HR · DK · FL

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 0.5
2026-10-18	@ NYG	0	under
2026-10-11	vs MIN	2	over
2026-10-05	vs ATL	0	under
2026-09-27	vs LV	1	over
2026-09-20	@ BAL	0	under
2026-09-13	@ DET	2	over
2026-01-04	@ ATL	1	over
2025-12-28	@ TEN	0	under
2025-12-21	vs NYJ	0	under
2025-12-14	vs CAR	0	under
2025-12-07	@ TB	1	over
2025-11-30	@ MIA	1	over
2025-11-23	vs ATL	1	over
2025-11-09	@ CAR	0	under
2025-11-02	@ LA	1	over
2025-10-26	vs TB	1	over
2025-09-21	@ SEA	0	under