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Alex Caruso

OKC vs DEN · Thu 9:40 PM ET

Points · 6.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·

80%over8 / 10 · last 10
8 / 10Cleared the number in 8 of 10 games
4 straight over

Last 10 games against 6.5 · May 9, 2026 – Oct 20, 2026

Worst miss -6.5
6.52026-05-09 at LAL: 6, under 6.5 by 0.56LAL2026-05-11 at LAL: 9, over 6.5 by 2.59LAL2026-05-18 vs SAS: 31, over 6.5 by 24.531SAS2026-05-20 vs SAS: 17, over 6.5 by 10.517SAS2026-05-22 at SAS: 15, over 6.5 by 8.515SAS2026-05-24 at SAS: 0, under 6.5 by 6.50SAS2026-05-26 vs SAS: 22, over 6.5 by 15.522SAS2026-05-28 at SAS: 7, over 6.5 by 0.57SAS2026-05-30 vs SAS: 12, over 6.5 by 5.512SAS2026-10-20 at SAS: 9, over 6.5 by 2.59SAS
Each game against 6.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2026-05-09LAL6 under−0.5
2026-05-11LAL9 over+2.5
2026-05-18SAS31 over+24.5
2026-05-20SAS17 over+10.5
2026-05-22SAS15 over+8.5
2026-05-24SAS0 under−6.5
2026-05-26SAS22 over+15.5
2026-05-28SAS7 over+0.5
2026-05-30SAS12 over+5.5
2026-10-20SAS9 over+2.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 108 / 1080% over+6.3
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026–27) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

8 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the over: 6.5 · best price FD -113
  • FanDuel 6.5 -113 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
  • Hard Rock Bet 6.5 -125 (easiest number)
  • DraftKings 6.5 -129 (easiest number)
  • BetMGM 6.5 -130 (easiest number)
  • Fliff 6.5 -130 (easiest number)
  • Caesars 6.5 -130 (easiest number)
  • PrizePicks 6.5 (easiest number)
  • DK Pick6 7.5

Line movement

  • FliffMoved from 7.5 to 6.5
  • PrizePicksMoved from 7.5 to 6.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 6.5
2026-10-20@ SAS9over
2026-05-30vs SAS12over
2026-05-28@ SAS7over
2026-05-26vs SAS22over
2026-05-24@ SAS0under
2026-05-22@ SAS15over
2026-05-20vs SAS17over
2026-05-18vs SAS31over
2026-05-11@ LAL9over
2026-05-09@ LAL6under
2026-05-07vs LAL5under
2026-05-05vs LAL5under
2026-04-27@ PHX14over
2026-04-25@ PHX13over
2026-04-22vs PHX7over
2026-04-19vs PHX2under
2026-04-08@ LAC2under
2026-04-07@ LAL6under
2026-04-05vs UTA5under
2026-03-30vs DET3under
2026-03-29vs NYK6under
2026-03-27vs CHI6under
2026-03-25@ BOS9over
2026-03-23@ PHI4under
2026-03-21@ WAS4under
2026-03-18@ BKN0under
2026-03-17@ ORL2under
2026-03-15vs MIN17over
2026-03-12vs BOS7over
2026-03-04@ NYK3under