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Chet Holmgren

OKC vs DEN · Thu 9:40 PM ET

Pts + Ast · 16.5 at Fliff ·

80%under8 / 10 · last 10
2 / 10Cleared the number in 2 of 10 games
3 straight under

Last 10 games against 16.5 · May 9, 2026 – Oct 20, 2026

Worst miss -2.5 on the under
16.52026-05-09 at LAL: 19, over 16.5 by 2.519LAL2026-05-11 at LAL: 16, under 16.5 by 0.516LAL2026-05-18 vs SAS: 8, under 16.5 by 8.58SAS2026-05-20 vs SAS: 15, under 16.5 by 1.515SAS2026-05-22 at SAS: 15, under 16.5 by 1.515SAS2026-05-24 at SAS: 12, under 16.5 by 4.512SAS2026-05-26 vs SAS: 17, over 16.5 by 0.517SAS2026-05-28 at SAS: 11, under 16.5 by 5.511SAS2026-05-30 vs SAS: 4, under 16.5 by 12.54SAS2026-10-20 at SAS: 16, under 16.5 by 0.516SAS
Each game against 16.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2026-05-09LAL19 over+2.5
2026-05-11LAL16 under−0.5
2026-05-18SAS8 under−8.5
2026-05-20SAS15 under−1.5
2026-05-22SAS15 under−1.5
2026-05-24SAS12 under−4.5
2026-05-26SAS17 over+0.5
2026-05-28SAS11 under−5.5
2026-05-30SAS4 under−12.5
2026-10-20SAS16 under−0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 108 / 1080% under+3.2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026–27) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 80% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

16.55 books, no line disagreementDK · ESPN · HR · FL · PP

Line movement

  • DraftKingsMoved from 15.5 to 16.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 16.5
2026-10-20@ SAS16under
2026-05-30vs SAS4under
2026-05-28@ SAS11under
2026-05-26vs SAS17over
2026-05-24@ SAS12under
2026-05-22@ SAS15under
2026-05-20vs SAS15under
2026-05-18vs SAS8under
2026-05-11@ LAL16under
2026-05-09@ LAL19over
2026-05-07vs LAL25over
2026-05-05vs LAL25over
2026-04-27@ PHX27over
2026-04-25@ PHX12under
2026-04-22vs PHX19over
2026-04-19vs PHX16under
2026-04-08@ LAC35over
2026-04-07@ LAL15under
2026-04-05vs UTA22over
2026-04-02vs LAL7under
2026-03-30vs DET14under
2026-03-29vs NYK18over
2026-03-25@ BOS10under
2026-03-23@ PHI21over
2026-03-21@ WAS18over
2026-03-18@ BKN12under
2026-03-17@ ORL21over
2026-03-15vs MIN23over
2026-03-12vs BOS14under
2026-03-04@ NYK30over