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Joel Embiid
PHI vs CLE · Thu 7:10 PM ETAssists · 4.5 at Caesars · median 3.5 ·
70%over7 / 10 · last 10
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
Last 10 games against 4.5 · Apr 3, 2026 – Oct 20, 2026
Worst miss -3.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | MIN | 7 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-04-06 | SAS | 1 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-04-26 | BOS | 6 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-04-28 | BOS | 8 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-04-30 | BOS | 8 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-05-02 | BOS | 6 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-05-04 | NYK | 1 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-05-08 | NYK | 5 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-05-10 | NYK | 4 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-20 | NYK | 6 over | +1.5 |
The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +0.7 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026–27) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the over: 3.5 · best price PX2 -148
- betPARX 3.5 -148 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- BetMGM 3.5 -150 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 3.5 -150 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 3.5 -152 (easiest number)
- Fliff 3.5 -170 (easiest number)
- Hard Rock Bet 3.5 -170 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 4.5 +136
- ESPN Bet 4.5 +125
- Caesars 4.5 +118
- DraftKings 4.5 +112
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 3.5 to 4.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 3.5 to 4.5
- FanDuelMoved from 3.5 to 4.5
- CaesarsMoved from 3.5 to 4.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 4.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | @ NYK | 6 | over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYK | 4 | under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs NYK | 5 | over |
| 2026-05-04 | @ NYK | 1 | under |
| 2026-05-02 | @ BOS | 6 | over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs BOS | 8 | over |
| 2026-04-28 | @ BOS | 8 | over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs BOS | 6 | over |
| 2026-04-06 | @ SAS | 1 | under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 7 | over |
| 2026-03-30 | @ MIA | 3 | under |
| 2026-03-28 | @ CHA | 2 | under |
| 2026-03-25 | vs CHI | 7 | over |
| 2026-02-26 | vs MIA | 4 | under |
| 2026-02-24 | @ IND | 5 | over |
| 2026-02-07 | @ PHX | 3 | under |
| 2026-02-05 | @ LAL | 7 | over |
| 2026-02-02 | @ LAC | 3 | under |
| 2026-01-31 | vs NOP | 4 | under |
| 2026-01-29 | vs SAC | 8 | over |
| 2026-01-27 | vs MIL | 5 | over |
| 2026-01-24 | vs NYK | 5 | over |
| 2026-01-22 | vs HOU | 10 | over |
| 2026-01-19 | vs IND | 4 | under |
| 2026-01-16 | vs CLE | 3 | under |
| 2026-01-14 | vs CLE | 3 | under |
| 2026-01-12 | @ TOR | 4 | under |
| 2026-01-09 | @ ORL | 3 | under |
| 2026-01-07 | vs WAS | 2 | under |
| 2026-01-05 | vs DEN | 2 | under |