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Marvin Bagley III

DEN @ OKC · Thu 9:40 PM ET

Pts + Reb · 9.5 at Fliff ·

70%over7 / 10 · last 10
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games

Last 10 games against 9.5 · Mar 16, 2026 – Apr 10, 2026

Worst miss -6.5
9.52026-03-16 at NOP: 18, over 9.5 by 8.518NOP2026-03-18 vs ATL: 9, under 9.5 by 0.59ATL2026-03-21 vs LAC: 24, over 9.5 by 14.524LAC2026-03-23 vs GSW: 9, under 9.5 by 0.59GSW2026-03-25 at DEN: 10, over 9.5 by 0.510DEN2026-03-27 at POR: 35, over 9.5 by 25.535POR2026-04-05 vs LAL: 13, over 9.5 by 3.513LAL2026-04-07 at LAC: 30, over 9.5 by 20.530LAC2026-04-08 at PHX: 28, over 9.5 by 18.528PHX2026-04-10 at SAS: 3, under 9.5 by 6.53SAS
Each game against 9.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2026-03-16NOP18 over+8.5
2026-03-18ATL9 under−0.5
2026-03-21LAC24 over+14.5
2026-03-23GSW9 under−0.5
2026-03-25DEN10 over+0.5
2026-03-27POR35 over+25.5
2026-04-05LAL13 over+3.5
2026-04-07LAC30 over+20.5
2026-04-08PHX28 over+18.5
2026-04-10SAS3 under−6.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 107 / 1070% over+8.4
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026–27) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

6 books · 0.5 spreadEasiest number for the over: 9
  • PrizePicks 9 (easiest number)
  • FanDuel 9.5 +102
  • Hard Rock Bet 9.5 -105
  • DraftKings 9.5 -110
  • ESPN Bet 9.5 -110
  • Fliff 9.5 -110

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 9.5
2026-04-10@ SAS3under
2026-04-08@ PHX28over
2026-04-07@ LAC30over
2026-04-05vs LAL13over
2026-03-27@ POR35over
2026-03-25@ DEN10over
2026-03-23vs GSW9under
2026-03-21vs LAC24over
2026-03-18vs ATL9under
2026-03-16@ NOP18over
2026-03-15@ CLE11over
2026-03-13vs CLE8under
2026-03-12@ MEM15over
2026-03-10@ ATL13over
2026-03-08@ TOR13over
2026-02-26vs SAC19over
2026-02-24@ BKN27over
2026-02-22@ IND23over
2026-02-20@ MIN28over
2026-02-12@ LAL11over
2026-02-10@ PHX17over
2026-02-07@ SAS28over
2026-02-03vs NYK17over
2026-02-01vs SAC21over
2026-01-19vs LAC14over
2026-01-17@ DEN20over
2026-01-16@ SAC12over
2026-01-14@ LAC26over
2026-01-11@ PHX9under
2026-01-07@ PHI18over