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Jared Hollins

South Alabama @ Arkansas State · Thu 7:30 PM ET

Completions · 16.5 at Hard Rock Bet ·

61Signal · under 16.586% · 6 / 7 · last 10 · props like this landed
1 / 7Cleared the number in 1 of 7 games, 3 without a result
Hard Rock Bet 16.5 +105 ·

Last 10 games against 16.5 · Aug 30, 2025 – Oct 3, 2026

Worst miss -6.5 on the under
16.5No resultNo resultNo result2025-08-30 vs Morgan State: 1, under 16.5 by 15.51Morgan State2025-09-27 at North Texas: 1, under 16.5 by 15.51North Texas2025-11-22 vs Southern Miss: 3, under 16.5 by 13.53Southern Miss2025-11-29 at Texas State: 7, under 16.5 by 9.57Texas State2026-09-19 vs Ohio: 13, under 16.5 by 3.513Ohio2026-09-26 at Kentucky: 23, over 16.5 by 6.523Kentucky2026-10-03 vs UL Monroe: 14, under 16.5 by 2.514UL Monroe
Each game against 16.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-08-30Morgan State1 under−15.5
2025-09-27North Texas1 under−15.5
2025-11-22Southern Miss3 under−13.5
2025-11-29Texas State7 under−9.5
2026-09-19Ohio13 under−3.5
2026-09-26Kentucky23 over+6.5
2026-10-03UL Monroe14 under−2.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 786% under+7.6
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 86% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.

Book Range

16.5Hard Rock Bet· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 16.5
2026-10-03vs UL Monroe14under
2026-09-26@ Kentucky23over
2026-09-19vs Ohio13under
2025-11-29@ Texas State7under
2025-11-22vs Southern Miss3under
2025-09-27@ North Texas1under
2025-08-30vs Morgan State1under