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Jacob Cowing

SF @ ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 0.5 ·

67%under2 / 3 · last 10
1 / 3Cleared the number in 1 of 3 games, 7 without a result
  • Mike Evans WR is listed Out (ribs). He had 23% of SF's targets this season, 6.5 a game over 6.

The game history below does not account for this absence.

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 1.7 a game recently → 2.7 this game
  • Evans out · +1.0 targets (16% of his 6.5)
  • vs ATL · ×1.01 yds per target
  • Heavier load · ×1.02 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 5.0 yds against 0.5 · over 72%, under 28%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.

Last 10 games against 0.5 · Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 11, 2026

Worst miss -8 on the under
0.5No resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo result2026-09-27 vs ARI: 0, under 0.5 by 0.5 yds0ARI2026-10-04 vs DEN: 0, under 0.5 by 0.5 yds0DEN2026-10-11 at SEA: 9, over 0.5 by 8.5 yds9SEA
Each game against 0.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2026-09-27ARI0 under−0.5
2026-10-04DEN0 under−0.5
2026-10-11SEA9 over+8.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 102 / 367% under-2
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

0.5PrizePicks· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 0.5
2026-10-11@ SEA9over
2026-10-04vs DEN0under
2026-09-27vs ARI0under