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KC Concepcion
CLE vs HOU · Sun 1:00 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 50.5 ·
54Signal · under 50.556% · 5 / 9 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 9Cleared the number in 4 of 9 games, 1 without a result
Dabble 50.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 0.9 a game recently
- targets: 6.3 a game recently
- vs HOU · ×1.01 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 52.5 yds against 50.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 8 this season.
Last 10 games against 50.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026
Worst miss -101 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | JAX | 58 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | TB | 22 under | −28.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR | 9 under | −41.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | PIT | 64 over | +13.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYJ | 5 under | −45.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BAL | 39 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | TEN | 152 over | +101.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | PIT | 37 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | NO | 88 over | +37.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 9 | 56% under | -2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 56% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
50.5Dabble· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 50.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | @ NO | 88 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | @ PIT | 37 | under |
| 2026-10-25 | @ TEN | 152 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs BAL | 39 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NYJ | 5 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | vs PIT | 64 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CAR | 9 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TB | 22 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ JAX | 58 | over |