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Najee Harris

NYG vs TEN · Sun 1:05 PM ET

Rush + Rec Yards · 23.5

50%even2 / 4 · last 10
2 / 4Cleared the number in 2 of 4 games, 6 without a result

How the formula reads tonight

  • carries: 4.6 a game recently
  • targets: 0.6 a game recently
  • vs TEN · ×0.98 yds per carry
  • vs TEN · ×1.02 yds per target

Expected rush + rec yards: 19.3 yds against 23.5

No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 1 this season.

Last 10 games against 23.5

Worst miss -17
23.5No resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo resultNo result2025-09-05 vs KC: 10, under 23.5 by 13.5 yds10KC2025-09-15 at LV: 48, over 23.5 by 24.5 yds48LV2025-09-21 vs DEN: 28, over 23.5 by 4.5 yds28DEN2026-09-21 at LA: 6, under 23.5 by 17.5 yds6LA
Each game against 23.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2025-09-05KC10 under−13.5
2025-09-15LV48 over+24.5
2025-09-21DEN28 over+4.5
2026-09-21LA6 under−17.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)
Last 102 / 450%0
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)
This season (with DPB Pro)
Home (with DPB Pro)

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.

Book Range

23.5Underdog· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 23.5
2026-09-21@ LA6under
2025-09-21vs DEN28over
2025-09-15@ LV48over
2025-09-05vs KC10under