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Seth McGowan
IND @ WAS · Sun 9:30 AM ETRushing Yards · 6.5 · median of 9 books ·
65Signal · under 6.567% · 2 / 3 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 3Cleared the number in 1 of 3 games, 7 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 2.0 a game recently
- vs WAS · ×1.04 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 4.9 yds against 6.5 · over 35%, under 65%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 6.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Sep 27, 2026
Worst miss -7 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | BAL | 0 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | KC | 0 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | HOU | 14 over | +7.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | |||
| Last 10 | 2 / 3 | 67% under | +2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | |||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | |||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | |||
See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Book Range
9 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 6.5
- FanDuel 5.5 -114
- Hard Rock Bet 5.5 -120
- DraftKings 6.5 -103 (easiest number)
- betPARX 6.5 -117 (easiest number)
- BetRivers 6.5 -118 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 6.5 -122 (easiest number)
- DK Pick6 6.5 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 6.5 (easiest number)
- Underdog 6.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | vs HOU | 14 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ KC | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs BAL | 0 | under |