Shedeur Sanders

CLE @ NO · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Passing TDs · 1.5 · median of 4 books ·

63Signal · under 1.590% · 9 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

1 / 10

6 straight under

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 18.2 a game recently

Expected passing tds: 0.6 against 1.5 · over 37%, under 63%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 1.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Nov 1, 2026

Worst miss -1.5 on the under

Each game against 1.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-11-16	BAL	0 under	−1.5
2025-11-23	LV	1 under	−0.5
2025-11-30	SF	1 under	−0.5
2025-12-07	TEN	3 over	+1.5
2025-12-14	CHI	0 under	−1.5
2025-12-21	BUF	1 under	−0.5
2025-12-28	PIT	1 under	−0.5
2026-01-04	CIN	0 under	−1.5
2026-09-27	CAR	0 under	−1.5
2026-11-01	PIT	0 under	−1.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	9 / 10	90% under	+0.8
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 90% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

1.54 books, no line disagreementDK · HR · FL · FD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 1.5
2026-11-01	@ PIT	0	under
2026-09-27	vs CAR	0	under
2026-01-04	@ CIN	0	under
2025-12-28	vs PIT	1	under
2025-12-21	vs BUF	1	under
2025-12-14	@ CHI	0	under
2025-12-07	vs TEN	3	over
2025-11-30	vs SF	1	under
2025-11-23	@ LV	1	under
2025-11-16	vs BAL	0	under