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Will Kacmarek
MIA vs CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 0.5 ·
53Signal · over 0.567% · 2 / 3 · last 10 · props like this landed
2 / 3Cleared the number in 2 of 3 games, 7 without a result
Fliff 0.5 -215 ·
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.3 a game recently
Expected receptions: 0.7 against 0.5
No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 0.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026
Worst miss -0.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | LV | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | SF | 1 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN | 1 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 2 / 3 | 67% over | +0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Book Range
0.5Fliff-215· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | @ MIN | 1 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ SF | 1 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ LV | 0 | under |