Ashton Dulin

IND @ MIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 0.5 ·

30Signal · under 0.556% · 5 / 9 · last 10 · the formula's chance

4 / 9

PrizePicks 0.5 ·

Tyler Warren TE is listed Out (groin). He had 22% of IND's targets this season, 7.2 a game over 5.

The game history below does not account for this absence.

How the formula reads this game

targets: 2.4 a game recently

Expected receiving yards: 16.4 yds against 0.5 · over 83%, under 17%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 2 this season.

Last 10 games against 0.5 · Sep 7, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026

Worst miss -54 on the under

Each game against 0.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
—	—	no result	—
2025-09-07	MIA	0 under	−0.5
2025-09-28	LA	11 over	+10.5
2025-10-05	LV	55 over	+54.5
2025-10-26	TEN	-8 under	−8.5
2025-11-09	ATL	0 under	−0.5
2025-11-23	KC	48 over	+47.5
2026-01-04	HOU	0 under	−0.5
2026-09-13	BAL	0 under	−0.5
2026-10-04	WAS	29 over	+28.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	5 / 9	56% under	-14
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 56% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

0.5PrizePicks· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 0.5
2026-10-04	@ WAS	29	over
2026-09-13	vs BAL	0	under
2026-01-04	@ HOU	0	under
2025-11-23	@ KC	48	over
2025-11-09	vs ATL	0	under
2025-10-26	vs TEN	-8	under
2025-10-05	vs LV	55	over
2025-09-28	@ LA	11	over
2025-09-07	vs MIA	0	under