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Calvin Ridley

TEN vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 13.5 ·

47Signal · over 13.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
PrizePicks 13.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 2.0 a game recently
  • vs CLE · ×0.97 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 15.8 yds against 13.5 · over 47%, under 53%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.

Last 10 games against 13.5 · Sep 21, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -13
13.52025-09-21 vs IND: 27, over 13.5 by 13.5 yds27IND2025-09-28 at HOU: 30, over 13.5 by 16.5 yds30HOU2025-10-05 at ARI: 131, over 13.5 by 117.5 yds131ARI2025-10-12 at LV: 18, over 13.5 by 4.5 yds18LV2025-11-16 vs HOU: 13, under 13.5 by 0.5 yds13HOU2026-09-20 vs PHI: 35, over 13.5 by 21.5 yds35PHI2026-09-27 at NYG: 0, under 13.5 by 13.5 yds0NYG2026-10-04 at BAL: 13, under 13.5 by 0.5 yds13BAL2026-10-11 vs HOU: 33, over 13.5 by 19.5 yds33HOU2026-10-18 at IND: 0, under 13.5 by 13.5 yds0IND
Each game against 13.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-09-21IND27 over+13.5
2025-09-28HOU30 over+16.5
2025-10-05ARI131 over+117.5
2025-10-12LV18 over+4.5
2025-11-16HOU13 under−0.5
2026-09-20PHI35 over+21.5
2026-09-27NYG0 under−13.5
2026-10-04BAL13 under−0.5
2026-10-11HOU33 over+19.5
2026-10-18IND0 under−13.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% over+17
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

13.5PrizePicks· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 13.5
2026-10-18@ IND0under
2026-10-11vs HOU33over
2026-10-04@ BAL13under
2026-09-27@ NYG0under
2026-09-20vs PHI35over
2025-11-16vs HOU13under
2025-10-12@ LV18over
2025-10-05@ ARI131over
2025-09-28@ HOU30over
2025-09-21vs IND27over
2025-09-14vs LA57over
2025-09-07@ DEN27over