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Cam Ward
TEN vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ETPass Attempts · 31.5 · median of 6 books ·
56Signal · under 31.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 29.5 a game recently
Expected pass attempts: 29.5 against 31.5 · over 44%, under 56%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 31.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -8.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | SF | 29 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | KC | 28 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NO | 40 over | +8.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | JAX | 3 under | −28.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYJ | 32 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PHI | 20 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYG | 36 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BAL | 31 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | HOU | 36 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | IND | 22 under | −9.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +3.8 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
31.56 books, no line disagreementDK · FAN · HR · FL · PP · UD
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 33.5 to 31.5
- UnderdogMoved from 33.5 to 31.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 31.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ IND | 22 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs HOU | 36 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BAL | 31 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NYG | 36 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PHI | 20 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NYJ | 32 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | @ JAX | 3 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NO | 40 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs KC | 28 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ SF | 29 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ CLE | 28 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs JAX | 38 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs SEA | 42 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs HOU | 37 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs LAC | 21 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ IND | 38 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NE | 34 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ LV | 38 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ ARI | 39 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ HOU | 26 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs IND | 38 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs LA | 33 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ DEN | 28 | under |