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Chig Okonkwo
WAS vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ETReceiving Yards · 32.5 · median of 10 books ·
54Signal · under 32.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 5.0 a game recently
- vs PHI · ×0.93 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 35.0 yds against 32.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 32.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 19, 2026
Worst miss -30| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | JAX | 29 under | −3.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CLE | 20 under | −12.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | SF | 33 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | KC | 44 over | +11.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NO | 55 over | +22.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | JAX | 2 under | −30.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | PHI | 16 under | −16.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | IND | 5 under | −27.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYG | 60 over | +27.5 |
| 2026-10-19 | SF | 69 over | +36.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
10 books · 4 yds spread
- BetMGM 31.5
- betPARX 32.5
- BetRivers 32.5
- FanDuel 32.5
- Bally Bet 32.5
- DraftKings 32.5
- Hard Rock Bet 32.5
- DK Pick6 32.5
- PrizePicks 32.5
- ESPN Bet 35.5
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 31.5 to 32.5
- betPARXMoved from 31.5 to 32.5
- BetRiversMoved from 31.5 to 32.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 31.5 to 32.5
- FanDuelMoved from 30.5 to 32.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 30.5 to 32.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 30.5 to 32.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 39.5 to 32.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 30.5 to 35.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 32.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | @ SF | 69 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs NYG | 60 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs IND | 5 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ PHI | 16 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ JAX | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NO | 55 | over |
| 2025-12-21 | vs KC | 44 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ SF | 33 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ CLE | 20 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs JAX | 29 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs SEA | 40 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs HOU | 56 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs LAC | 10 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ IND | 53 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NE | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ LV | 46 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ ARI | 48 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ HOU | 4 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs IND | 66 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs LA | 35 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ DEN | 19 | under |