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Chuba Hubbard
CAR @ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ETCarries · 15.5 · median of 9 books ·
53Signal · under 15.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 16.0 a game recently
Expected carries: 16.0 against 15.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 15.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -12.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | NO | 8 under | −7.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | TB | 6 under | −9.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | SEA | 4 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | TB | 5 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | CHI | 10 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | ATL | 12 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CLE | 19 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DET | 20 over | +4.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | PHI | 28 over | +12.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | TB | 7 under | −8.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +3.6 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
9 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the under: 16.5
- DraftKings 15.5
- Fliff 15.5
- Hard Rock Bet 15.5
- DK Pick6 15.5
- PrizePicks 15.5
- Underdog 15.5
- betPARX 16.5 (easiest number)
- BetMGM 16.5 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 16.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- Bally BetMoved from 15.5 to 16.5
- betPARXMoved from 15.5 to 16.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs TB | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-18 | @ PHI | 28 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DET | 20 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ CLE | 19 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ ATL | 12 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs CHI | 10 | under |
| 2026-01-03 | @ TB | 5 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs SEA | 4 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs TB | 6 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ NO | 8 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LA | 17 | over |
| 2025-11-24 | @ SF | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ATL | 4 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs NO | 3 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | @ GB | 5 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs BUF | 12 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ NYJ | 14 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ NE | 10 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | vs ATL | 17 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ ARI | 10 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ JAX | 16 | over |