← NFL board4 straight over
Dak Prescott
DAL @ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ETPass Attempts · 37 · median of 8 books ·
50Signal · over 3756% · 5 / 9 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 9Cleared the number in 5 of 9 games, 1 push
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 41.0 a game recently
Expected pass attempts: 41.0 against 37 · over 50%, under 50% (if it doesn't land exactly on 37)
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 37 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -26| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | MIN | 38 over | +1.0 |
| 2025-12-21 | LAC | 30 under | −7.0 |
| 2025-12-25 | WAS | 37 push | +0.0 |
| 2026-01-04 | NYG | 11 under | −26.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYG | 34 under | −3.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | WAS | 31 under | −6.0 |
| 2026-09-27 | BAL | 40 over | +3.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | HOU | 45 over | +8.0 |
| 2026-10-08 | TB | 42 over | +5.0 |
| 2026-10-18 | GB | 54 over | +17.0 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 9 | 56% over | -0.9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 56% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
8 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the over: 36.5 · best price HR -120
- Hard Rock Bet 36.5 -120 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- Fliff 36.5 -130 (easiest number)
- Fanatics 36.5 -135 (easiest number)
- PrizePicks 37
- betPARX 37.5 +100
- DraftKings 37.5 -102
- BetMGM 37.5 -105
- Bally Bet 37.5 -106
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 34.5 to 37
- BetMGMMoved from 36.5 to 37.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 36.5 to 37.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 37 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ GB | 54 | over |
| 2026-10-08 | vs TB | 42 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ HOU | 45 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs BAL | 40 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs WAS | 31 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ NYG | 34 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ NYG | 11 | under |
| 2025-12-25 | @ WAS | 37 | push |
| 2025-12-21 | vs LAC | 30 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs MIN | 38 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | @ DET | 47 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | vs KC | 39 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs PHI | 36 | under |
| 2025-11-17 | @ LV | 33 | under |
| 2025-11-03 | vs ARI | 39 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ DEN | 31 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs WAS | 30 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ CAR | 34 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ NYJ | 29 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | vs GB | 40 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CHI | 40 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | vs NYG | 52 | over |
| 2025-09-04 | @ PHI | 34 | under |