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Dalton Schultz
HOU vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 29.5 · median of 2 books ·
50Signal · over 29.580% · 8 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
8 / 10Cleared the number in 8 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.2 a game recently
- vs NYG · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 45.5 yds against 29.5 · over 50%, under 50%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 29.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -20| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | ARI | 76 over | +46.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | LV | 35 over | +5.5 |
| 2025-12-27 | LAC | 19 under | −10.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | IND | 73 over | +43.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | BUF | 35 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | CIN | 140 over | +110.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | IND | 30 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DAL | 9 under | −20.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | TEN | 30 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | JAX | 33 over | +3.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 8 / 10 | 80% over | +19 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
2 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 29.5
- PrizePicks 29.5 (easiest number)
- Fliff 31.5 -115
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 29.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ JAX | 33 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ TEN | 30 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DAL | 9 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ IND | 30 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs CIN | 140 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs BUF | 35 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs IND | 73 | over |
| 2025-12-27 | @ LAC | 19 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs LV | 35 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs ARI | 76 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | @ KC | 22 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ IND | 55 | over |
| 2025-11-20 | vs BUF | 8 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ TEN | 51 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | vs JAX | 53 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs DEN | 77 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs SF | 24 | under |
| 2025-10-20 | @ SEA | 98 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ BAL | 60 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs TEN | 30 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ JAX | 39 | over |
| 2025-09-15 | vs TB | 29 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ LA | 28 | under |