Deshaun Watson

CLE @ PIT · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Pass Attempts · 31.5 at ESPN Bet · median 30.5 ·

55Signal · under 31.557% · 4 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance

3 / 7

How the formula reads this game

pass attempts: 30.0 a game recently

Expected pass attempts: 30.0 against 31.5 · over 45%, under 55%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 31.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -4.5 on the under

Each game against 31.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
—	—	no result	—
2026-09-13	JAX	22 under	−9.5
2026-09-20	TB	30 under	−1.5
2026-09-27	CAR	30 under	−1.5
2026-10-01	PIT	33 over	+1.5
2026-10-11	NYJ	33 over	+1.5
2026-10-18	BAL	26 under	−5.5
2026-10-25	TEN	36 over	+4.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	4 / 7	57% under	+1.5
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 57% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

10 books · 1 spreadEasiest number for the under: 31.5

Line movement

FliffMoved from 31.5 to 30.5
PrizePicksMoved from 30.5 to 31

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 31.5
2026-10-25	@ TEN	36	over
2026-10-18	vs BAL	26	under
2026-10-11	@ NYJ	33	over
2026-10-01	vs PIT	33	over
2026-09-27	vs CAR	30	under
2026-09-20	@ TB	30	under
2026-09-13	@ JAX	22	under