Dylan Sampson

CLE @ PIT · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Carries · 3.5 ·

51Signal · over 3.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

5 / 10

3 straight over

Fliff 3.5 -155 ·

How the formula reads this game

carries: 5.4 a game recently

Expected carries: 5.4 against 3.5 · over 51%, under 49%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 8 games, 1 this season.

Last 10 games against 3.5 · Oct 19, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -2.5

Each game against 3.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-10-19	MIA	3 under	−0.5
2025-10-26	NE	3 under	−0.5
2025-11-09	NYJ	2 under	−1.5
2025-11-16	BAL	1 under	−2.5
2025-11-23	LV	7 over	+3.5
2025-11-30	SF	4 over	+0.5
2025-12-07	TEN	2 under	−1.5
2025-12-28	PIT	11 over	+7.5
2026-01-04	CIN	10 over	+6.5
2026-10-25	TEN	6 over	+2.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	5 / 10	50%	+1.4
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Away (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

3.5Fliff· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 3.5
2026-10-25	@ TEN	6	over
2026-01-04	@ CIN	10	over
2025-12-28	vs PIT	11	over
2025-12-07	vs TEN	2	under
2025-11-30	vs SF	4	over
2025-11-23	@ LV	7	over
2025-11-16	vs BAL	1	under
2025-11-09	@ NYJ	2	under
2025-10-26	@ NE	3	under
2025-10-19	vs MIA	3	under
2025-10-12	@ PIT	3	under
2025-10-05	vs MIN	1	under
2025-09-28	@ DET	1	under
2025-09-21	vs GB	1	under
2025-09-14	@ BAL	4	over
2025-09-07	vs CIN	12	over