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Efton Chism III
NE vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 1.5 at FanDuel ·
52Signal · under 1.560% · 3 / 5 · last 10 · props like this landed
2 / 5Cleared the number in 2 of 5 games, 5 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.3 a game recently
Expected receptions: 1.3 against 1.5
No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Dec 28, 2025 – Oct 4, 2026
Worst miss -0.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-12-28 | NYJ | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | MIA | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PIT | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | JAX | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BUF | 2 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 5 | 60% under | +0.1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Book Range
1.53 books, no line disagreementFD · FL · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | @ BUF | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ JAX | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PIT | 1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs MIA | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | @ NYJ | 2 | over |