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George Kittle
SF @ ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 68.5 · median of 10 books ·
43Signal · over 68.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
6 / 10Cleared the number in 6 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 6.0 a game recently
- vs ATL · ×1.03 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 57.9 yds against 68.5 · over 43%, under 57%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 68.5 · Nov 30, 2025 – Oct 19, 2026
Worst miss -56| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | CLE | 67 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | TEN | 88 over | +19.5 |
| 2025-12-22 | IND | 115 over | +46.5 |
| 2026-01-03 | SEA | 29 under | −39.5 |
| 2026-09-10 | LA | 12 under | −56.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | MIA | 80 over | +11.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI | 82 over | +13.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DEN | 70 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | SEA | 24 under | −44.5 |
| 2026-10-19 | WAS | 69 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% over | -5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
10 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the over: 67.5 · best price PX2 -114
- betPARX 67.5 -114 (easiest number) (best price at this number)
- BetRivers 67.5 -115 (easiest number)
- Bally Bet 67.5 -120 (easiest number)
- FanDuel 68.5 -114
- Fliff 68.5 -120
- PrizePicks 68.5
- DraftKings 69.5 -110
- ESPN Bet 69.5 -110
- Hard Rock Bet 69.5 -115
- Underdog 69.5
Line movement
- FanDuelMoved from 66.5 to 68.5
- FliffMoved from 67.5 to 68.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 66.5 to 68.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 68.5 to 69.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 66.5 to 69.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 68.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | vs WAS | 69 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ SEA | 24 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DEN | 70 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs ARI | 82 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | vs MIA | 80 | over |
| 2026-09-10 | @ LA | 12 | under |
| 2026-01-03 | vs SEA | 29 | under |
| 2025-12-22 | @ IND | 115 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | vs TEN | 88 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ CLE | 67 | under |
| 2025-11-24 | vs CAR | 78 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ ARI | 67 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs LA | 84 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ NYG | 32 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ HOU | 43 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs ATL | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ SEA | 25 | under |