Isaiah Davis

NYJ vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receiving Yards · 3.5 ·

58Signal · over 3.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance

6 / 10

6 straight over

PrizePicks 3.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

targets: 2.0 a game recently
vs LV · ×1.01 yds per target

Expected receiving yards: 23.0 yds against 3.5 · over 58%, under 42%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.

Last 10 games against 3.5 · Nov 13, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -3

Each game against 3.5
Date	Opponent	Result	Margin
2025-11-13	NE	0 under	−3.5
2025-11-23	BAL	0 under	−3.5
2025-11-30	ATL	0 under	−3.5
2025-12-07	MIA	0 under	−3.5
2025-12-14	JAX	7 over	+3.5
2025-12-21	NO	52 over	+48.5
2025-12-28	NE	9 over	+5.5
2026-10-11	CLE	9 over	+5.5
2026-10-18	NE	10 over	+6.5
2026-10-25	MIA	49 over	+45.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

Window	Hits	Rate	Avg margin for the over
Last 5 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Last 10	6 / 10	60% over	+10
Last 20 (with DPB Pro)	Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro)	Pro
Home (with DPB Pro)	Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

3.5PrizePicks· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

Date	Opponent	Result	vs 3.5
2026-10-25	vs MIA	49	over
2026-10-18	@ NE	10	over
2026-10-11	vs CLE	9	over
2025-12-28	vs NE	9	over
2025-12-21	@ NO	52	over
2025-12-14	@ JAX	7	over
2025-12-07	vs MIA	0	under
2025-11-30	vs ATL	0	under
2025-11-23	@ BAL	0	under
2025-11-13	@ NE	0	under
2025-11-09	vs CLE	1	under
2025-10-26	@ CIN	44	over
2025-10-19	vs CAR	22	over
2025-10-12	vs DEN	-1	under
2025-10-05	vs DAL	28	over
2025-09-29	@ MIA	18	over
2025-09-14	vs BUF	6	over
2025-09-07	vs PIT	0	under