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Jacob Cowing
SF @ ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 0.5 at Underdog ·
67%under2 / 3 · last 10
1 / 3Cleared the number in 1 of 3 games, 7 without a result
- Mike Evans WR is listed Out (ribs). He had 23% of SF's targets this season, 6.5 a game over 6.
The game history below does not account for this absence.
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.7 a game recently → 2.7 this game
- Evans out · +1.0 targets (16% of his 6.5)
Expected receptions: 0.5 against 0.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 0.5 · Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -0.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-27 | ARI | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | DEN | 0 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | SEA | 1 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 2 / 3 | 67% under | +0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
0.52 books, no line disagreementPP · UD
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ SEA | 1 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs DEN | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs ARI | 0 | under |