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Jayden Daniels
WAS vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ETPassing Yards · 205.5 ·
56Signal · under 205.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
PrizePicks 205.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 29.0 a game recently
Expected passing yards: 189.8 yds against 205.5 · over 44%, under 56%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 205.5 · Sep 11, 2025 – Oct 19, 2026
Worst miss -94 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-11 | GB | 200 under | −5.5 |
| 2025-10-05 | LAC | 231 over | +25.5 |
| 2025-10-13 | CHI | 211 over | +5.5 |
| 2025-10-19 | DAL | 156 under | −49.5 |
| 2025-11-02 | SEA | 153 under | −52.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | MIN | 78 under | −127.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | PHI | 164 under | −41.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | DAL | 96 under | −109.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYG | 199 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-10-19 | SF | 300 over | +94.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | +27 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
205.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 205.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | @ SF | 300 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs NYG | 199 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ DAL | 96 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ PHI | 164 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ MIN | 78 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs SEA | 153 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ DAL | 156 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | vs CHI | 211 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ LAC | 231 | over |
| 2025-09-11 | @ GB | 200 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs NYG | 233 | over |