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Jayden Daniels

WAS vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET

Rushing Yards · 35.5 ·

50Signal · over 35.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
PrizePicks 35.5 ·

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 6.3 a game recently

Expected rushing yards: 53.3 yds against 35.5 · over 50%, under 50%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.

Last 10 games against 35.5 · Sep 11, 2025 – Oct 19, 2026

Worst miss -25
35.52025-09-11 at GB: 17, under 35.5 by 18.5 yds17GB2025-10-05 at LAC: 39, over 35.5 by 3.5 yds39LAC2025-10-13 vs CHI: 52, over 35.5 by 16.5 yds52CHI2025-10-19 at DAL: 35, under 35.5 by 0.5 yds35DAL2025-11-02 vs SEA: 51, over 35.5 by 15.5 yds51SEA2025-12-07 at MIN: 16, under 35.5 by 19.5 yds16MIN2026-09-13 at PHI: 31, under 35.5 by 4.5 yds31PHI2026-09-20 at DAL: 69, over 35.5 by 33.5 yds69DAL2026-10-11 vs NYG: 103, over 35.5 by 67.5 yds103NYG2026-10-19 at SF: 10, under 35.5 by 25.5 yds10SF
Each game against 35.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-09-11GB17 under−18.5
2025-10-05LAC39 over+3.5
2025-10-13CHI52 over+16.5
2025-10-19DAL35 under−0.5
2025-11-02SEA51 over+15.5
2025-12-07MIN16 under−19.5
2026-09-13PHI31 under−4.5
2026-09-20DAL69 over+33.5
2026-10-11NYG103 over+67.5
2026-10-19SF10 under−25.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 1050%+7
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range

35.5PrizePicks· one book

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 35.5
2026-10-19@ SF10under
2026-10-11vs NYG103over
2026-09-20@ DAL69over
2026-09-13@ PHI31under
2025-12-07@ MIN16under
2025-11-02vs SEA51over
2025-10-19@ DAL35under
2025-10-13vs CHI52over
2025-10-05@ LAC39over
2025-09-11@ GB17under
2025-09-07vs NYG68over