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Jordan Love
GB @ DET · Sun 4:25 PM ETCarries · 2.5 · median of 5 books ·
58Signal · under 2.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 1.8 a game recently
Expected carries: 1.8 against 2.5 · over 42%, under 58%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 2.5 · Nov 27, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -2.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | DET | 5 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CHI | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DEN | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | CHI | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIN | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NYJ | 0 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-24 | ATL | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | TB | 4 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CHI | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | DAL | 4 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +0.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
2.55 books, no line disagreementFL · HR · DK · FAN · PP
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs DAL | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CHI | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ TB | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-24 | vs ATL | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NYJ | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-20 | @ CHI | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DEN | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CHI | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | @ DET | 5 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs MIN | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ NYG | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-10 | vs PHI | 5 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CAR | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PIT | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | @ ARI | 4 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CIN | 7 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DAL | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CLE | 4 | over |
| 2025-09-11 | vs WAS | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs DET | 3 | over |