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Jordan Love
GB @ DET · Sun 4:25 PM ETPassing TDs · 1.5 · median of 9 books ·
48Signal · over 1.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 37.7 a game recently
Expected passing tds: 1.8 against 1.5 · over 48%, under 52%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Nov 27, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -1.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | DET | 4 over | +2.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CHI | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DEN | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | CHI | 0 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIN | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NYJ | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-24 | ATL | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | TB | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CHI | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | DAL | 1 under | −0.5 |
The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +0.4 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
1.59 books, no line disagreementFD · BB · PX2 · HR · BR · DK · MGM · ESPN · FL· best price at 1.5: FD -180
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs DAL | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CHI | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ TB | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-24 | vs ATL | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NYJ | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MIN | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-20 | @ CHI | 0 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DEN | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CHI | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | @ DET | 4 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs MIN | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ NYG | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-10 | vs PHI | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CAR | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PIT | 3 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ ARI | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CIN | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DAL | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CLE | 1 | under |
| 2025-09-11 | vs WAS | 2 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs DET | 2 | over |