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Jordan Love
GB @ DET · Sun 4:25 PM ETCompletions · 22.5 · median of 8 books ·
54Signal · under 22.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 37.7 a game recently
Expected completions: 22.5 against 22.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 22.5 · Nov 27, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -5.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 | DET | 18 under | −4.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CHI | 17 under | −5.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | DEN | 24 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | CHI | 8 under | −14.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIN | 21 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | NYJ | 16 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-09-24 | ATL | 28 over | +5.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | TB | 22 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CHI | 25 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | DAL | 23 over | +0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | +2.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
8 books · 2 spreadEasiest number for the under: 23.5
- betPARX 21.5
- BetRivers 21.5
- Bally Bet 21.5
- Hard Rock Bet 22.5
- Fliff 22.5
- PrizePicks 22.5
- BetMGM 23.5 (easiest number)
- DraftKings 23.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 22.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs DAL | 23 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CHI | 25 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ TB | 22 | under |
| 2026-09-24 | vs ATL | 28 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ NYJ | 16 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ MIN | 21 | under |
| 2025-12-20 | @ CHI | 8 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ DEN | 24 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CHI | 17 | under |
| 2025-11-27 | @ DET | 18 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs MIN | 14 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ NYG | 13 | under |
| 2025-11-10 | vs PHI | 20 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CAR | 26 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ PIT | 29 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | @ ARI | 19 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | vs CIN | 19 | under |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DAL | 31 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CLE | 18 | under |
| 2025-09-11 | vs WAS | 19 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | vs DET | 16 | under |