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Josh Allen
BUF vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ETRushing Yards · 29.5 at PrizePicks ·
51Signal · under 29.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
PrizePicks 29.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 8.0 a game recently
Expected rushing yards: 40.0 yds against 29.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 29.5 · Dec 7, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -91 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | CIN | 78 over | +48.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | NE | 48 over | +18.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | CLE | 17 under | −12.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | PHI | 27 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | HOU | 23 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | DET | 69 over | +39.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LAC | 22 under | −7.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NE | 4 under | −25.5 |
| 2026-10-12 | LA | 121 over | +91.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LV | 1 under | −28.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -11 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
29.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 29.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ LV | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-12 | @ LA | 121 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | vs NE | 4 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LAC | 22 | under |
| 2026-09-17 | vs DET | 69 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ HOU | 23 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs PHI | 27 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ CLE | 17 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ NE | 48 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CIN | 78 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | @ PIT | 38 | over |
| 2025-11-20 | @ HOU | 20 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | vs TB | 40 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ MIA | 31 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs KC | 19 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ CAR | 7 | under |
| 2025-10-13 | @ ATL | 42 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs NE | 53 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs NO | 45 | over |
| 2025-09-18 | vs MIA | 25 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | @ NYJ | 59 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs BAL | 30 | over |