← NFL board3 straight over
Josh Cuevas
BAL vs CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 6.5 · median of 4 books ·
63Signal · over 6.5100% · 3 / 3 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 3Cleared the number in 3 of 3 games, 7 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.7 a game recently
- vs CIN · ×1.15 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 32.2 yds against 6.5 · over 63%, under 37%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 3 games, 3 this season.
Last 10 games against 6.5 · Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 18, 2026
Tightest clearance +8| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-27 | DAL | 14 over | +7.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ATL | 26 over | +19.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | CLE | 44 over | +37.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 3 | 100% over | +22 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 100% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
6.54 books, no line disagreementHR · FD · FL · PP· best price at 6.5: HR -110
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 6.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ CLE | 44 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ ATL | 26 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ DAL | 14 | over |