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Keon Coleman
BUF vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 2.5 · median of 7 books ·
51Signal · under 2.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.0 a game recently
Expected receptions: 3.2 against 2.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 2.5 · Nov 9, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -3.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | MIA | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | PIT | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | CIN | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NYJ | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | HOU | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | DET | 6 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | LAC | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | NE | 6 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-12 | LA | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | LV | 4 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -0.3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
2.57 books, no line disagreementDK · PX2 · BR · HR · BB · FD · FL
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ LV | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-12 | @ LA | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs NE | 6 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs LAC | 1 | under |
| 2026-09-17 | vs DET | 6 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ HOU | 1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs NYJ | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs CIN | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ PIT | 2 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ MIA | 3 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs KC | 2 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | @ CAR | 3 | over |
| 2025-10-13 | @ ATL | 3 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs NE | 4 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs NO | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-18 | vs MIA | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ NYJ | 3 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | vs BAL | 8 | over |