← NFL board

Kevin Coleman Jr.

MIA @ IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET

Receptions · 1.5 at ESPN Bet ·

57Signal · under 1.571% · 5 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
2 / 7Cleared the number in 2 of 7 games, 3 without a result

How the formula reads this game

  • targets: 3.0 a game recently

Expected receptions: 1.1 against 1.5 · over 43%, under 57%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.

Last 10 games against 1.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026

Worst miss -1.5 on the under
1.5No resultNo resultNo result2026-09-13 at LV: 0, under 1.5 by 1.50LV2026-09-27 vs KC: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51KC2026-10-04 at MIN: 1, under 1.5 by 0.51MIN2026-10-11 vs CIN: 3, over 1.5 by 1.53CIN2026-10-25 at NYJ: 0, under 1.5 by 1.50NYJ2026-11-01 vs NE: 3, over 1.5 by 1.53NE2026-11-08 vs DET: 0, under 1.5 by 1.50DET
Each game against 1.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
——no result—
——no result—
——no result—
2026-09-13LV0 under−1.5
2026-09-27KC1 under−0.5
2026-10-04MIN1 under−0.5
2026-10-11CIN3 over+1.5
2026-10-25NYJ0 under−1.5
2026-11-01NE3 over+1.5
2026-11-08DET0 under−1.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 105 / 771% under+0.4
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Away (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 71% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

1.56 books, no line disagreementHR · DK · MGM · ESPN · FL · FD

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 1.5
2026-11-08vs DET0under
2026-11-01vs NE3over
2026-10-25@ NYJ0under
2026-10-11vs CIN3over
2026-10-04@ MIN1under
2026-09-27vs KC1under
2026-09-13@ LV0under