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Kimani Vidal
LAC @ LA · Sun 4:05 PM ETRushing Yards · 23.5 · median of 11 books ·
53Signal · under 23.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 5.3 a game recently
- vs LA · ×0.99 yds per carry
Expected rushing yards: 27.1 yds against 23.5 · over 47%, under 53%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 23.5 · Nov 16, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -17| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | JAX | 13 under | −10.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | LV | 126 over | +102.5 |
| 2025-12-08 | PHI | 44 over | +20.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | KC | 33 over | +9.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | DAL | 11 under | −12.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | DEN | 12 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | BUF | 6 under | −17.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA | 25 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DEN | 57 over | +33.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | KC | 21 under | −2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +11 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
11 books · 1 yds spread
- betPARX 23.5
- DraftKings 23.5
- BetRivers 23.5
- FanDuel 23.5
- Bally Bet 23.5
- BetMGM 23.5
- Hard Rock Bet 23.5
- DK Pick6 23.5
- PrizePicks 23.5
- ESPN Bet 24.5
- Underdog 24.5
Line movement
- DraftKingsMoved from 21.5 to 23.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 22.5 to 23.5
- DK Pick6Moved from 21.5 to 23.5
- ESPN BetMoved from 19.5 to 24.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 23.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ KC | 21 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs DEN | 57 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ SEA | 25 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ BUF | 6 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ DEN | 12 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ DAL | 11 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ KC | 33 | over |
| 2025-12-08 | vs PHI | 44 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs LV | 126 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ JAX | 13 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | vs PIT | 95 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | @ TEN | 30 | over |
| 2025-10-23 | vs MIN | 117 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs IND | 20 | under |
| 2025-10-12 | @ MIA | 124 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | vs WAS | 18 | under |