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Kirk Cousins
LV @ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ETPassing TDs · 1.5 · median of 10 books ·
51Signal · over 1.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
7 / 10Cleared the number in 7 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- pass attempts: 36.7 a game recently
Expected passing tds: 2.3 against 1.5 · over 51%, under 49%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 1.5 · Dec 21, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -0.5| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | ARI | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-29 | LA | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | NO | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIA | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | LAC | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NO | 3 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | KC | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NE | 1 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | BUF | 2 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | LA | 2 over | +0.5 |
The ten-game rate rests on an average clearance under one unit of the stat: a thin habit rather than a wide one.
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% over | +0.5 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
1.510 books, no line disagreementBB · PX2 · BR · HR · FD · DK · ESPN · PK6 · PP · UD· best price at 1.5: BB, PX2 -114
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs LA | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs BUF | 2 | over |
| 2026-10-11 | @ NE | 1 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs KC | 2 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NO | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ LAC | 3 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs MIA | 3 | over |
| 2026-01-04 | vs NO | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-29 | vs LA | 1 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ ARI | 2 | over |
| 2025-12-11 | @ TB | 3 | over |
| 2025-12-07 | vs SEA | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | @ NYJ | 1 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | @ NO | 2 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs CAR | 0 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs MIA | 0 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ CAR | 0 | under |