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Malachi Fields
NYG @ PHI · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceptions · 2.5 · median of 10 books ·
55Signal · under 2.586% · 6 / 7 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 7Cleared the number in 1 of 7 games, 3 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 4.3 a game recently
Expected receptions: 2.3 against 2.5 · over 45%, under 55%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 7 games, 7 this season.
Last 10 games against 2.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026
Worst miss -1.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | DAL | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-21 | LA | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | TEN | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | WAS | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | NO | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-25 | HOU | 4 over | +1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 7 | 86% under | +0.2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 86% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
2.510 books, no line disagreementPX2 · ESPN · BR · FD · BB · HR · MGM · DK · FL · PK6
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | @ HOU | 4 | over |
| 2026-10-18 | vs NO | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | @ WAS | 2 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs ARI | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs TEN | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-21 | @ LA | 2 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs DAL | 2 | under |