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Malik Washington

MIA vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET

Rush + Rec Yards · 48.5 · median of 4 books ·

46Signal · under 48.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • carries: 1.3 a game recently
  • targets: 6.5 a game recently
  • vs NE · ×0.98 yds per target

Expected rush + rec yards: 53.8 yds against 48.5 · over 46%, under 54%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 48.5 · Dec 15, 2025 – Oct 25, 2026

Worst miss -21 on the under
48.52025-12-15 at PIT: 10, under 48.5 by 38.5 yds10PIT2025-12-21 vs CIN: 32, under 48.5 by 16.5 yds32CIN2025-12-28 vs TB: 5, under 48.5 by 43.5 yds5TB2026-01-04 at NE: 28, under 48.5 by 20.5 yds28NE2026-09-13 at LV: 53, over 48.5 by 4.5 yds53LV2026-09-20 at SF: 47, under 48.5 by 1.5 yds47SF2026-09-27 vs KC: 61, over 48.5 by 12.5 yds61KC2026-10-04 at MIN: 70, over 48.5 by 21.5 yds70MIN2026-10-11 vs CIN: 61, over 48.5 by 12.5 yds61CIN2026-10-25 at NYJ: 35, under 48.5 by 13.5 yds35NYJ
Each game against 48.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-15PIT10 under−38.5
2025-12-21CIN32 under−16.5
2025-12-28TB5 under−43.5
2026-01-04NE28 under−20.5
2026-09-13LV53 over+4.5
2026-09-20SF47 under−1.5
2026-09-27KC61 over+12.5
2026-10-04MIN70 over+21.5
2026-10-11CIN61 over+12.5
2026-10-25NYJ35 under−13.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% under+8
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card

Book Range

4 books · 1 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 49.5
  • DraftKings 48.5
  • PrizePicks 48.5
  • FanDuel 49.5 (easiest number)
  • Hard Rock Bet 49.5 (easiest number)

Line movement

  • FanDuelMoved from 48.5 to 49.5
  • Hard Rock BetMoved from 48.5 to 49.5

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 48.5
2026-10-25@ NYJ35under
2026-10-11vs CIN61over
2026-10-04@ MIN70over
2026-09-27vs KC61over
2026-09-20@ SF47under
2026-09-13@ LV53over
2026-01-04@ NE28under
2025-12-28vs TB5under
2025-12-21vs CIN32under
2025-12-15@ PIT10under
2025-12-07@ NYJ10under
2025-11-30vs NO30under
2025-11-16vs WAS42under
2025-11-09vs BUF13under
2025-10-30vs BAL61over
2025-10-26@ ATL36under
2025-10-19@ CLE30under
2025-10-12vs LAC23under
2025-10-05@ CAR0under
2025-09-29vs NYJ21under
2025-09-18@ BUF32under
2025-09-14vs NE25under
2025-09-07@ IND29under