← NFL board
Quinshon Judkins
CLE @ TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ETCarries · 14.5 at PrizePicks ·
54Signal · under 14.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
PrizePicks 14.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 14.6 a game recently
Expected carries: 14.6 against 14.5 · over 46%, under 54%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 14.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -8.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | LV | 16 over | +1.5 |
| 2025-11-30 | SF | 23 over | +8.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | TEN | 14 under | −0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | CHI | 12 under | −2.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | BUF | 8 under | −6.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | JAX | 12 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | TB | 12 under | −2.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | CAR | 18 over | +3.5 |
| 2026-10-01 | PIT | 17 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYJ | 14 under | −0.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -0.1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
14.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ NYJ | 14 | under |
| 2026-10-01 | vs PIT | 17 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs CAR | 18 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ TB | 12 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | @ JAX | 12 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs BUF | 8 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ CHI | 12 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | vs TEN | 14 | under |
| 2025-11-30 | vs SF | 23 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | @ LV | 16 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs BAL | 17 | over |
| 2025-11-09 | @ NYJ | 22 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ NE | 9 | under |
| 2025-10-19 | vs MIA | 25 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ PIT | 12 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs MIN | 23 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | @ DET | 21 | over |
| 2025-09-21 | vs GB | 18 | over |
| 2025-09-14 | @ BAL | 10 | under |