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Seth McGowan
IND @ PIT · Sun 1:00 PM ETRush + Rec Yards · 15.5 at Underdog ·
75%under3 / 4 · last 10
1 / 4Cleared the number in 1 of 4 games, 6 without a result
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 3.0 a game recently
- targets: 0.8 a game recently
- vs PIT · ×1.01 yds per carry
- vs PIT · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected rush + rec yards: 13.1 yds against 15.5
No probability is shown: the formula has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw. Its record. Baseline: 4 games, 4 this season.
Last 10 games against 15.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Oct 4, 2026
Worst miss -22 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | BAL | 0 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | KC | 0 under | −15.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | HOU | 14 under | −1.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | WAS | 38 over | +22.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 3 / 4 | 75% under | +3 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 75% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
15.5Underdog· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | @ WAS | 38 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | vs HOU | 14 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | @ KC | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-13 | vs BAL | 0 | under |