← NFL board4 straight under
Tanner McKee
PHI vs DAL · Mon 8:15 PM ETCarries · 2.5 ·
60Signal · under 2.580% · 4 / 5 · last 10 · the formula's chance
1 / 5Cleared the number in 1 of 5 games, 5 without a result
PrizePicks 2.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- carries: 1.7 a game recently
Expected carries: 1.7 against 2.5 · over 40%, under 60%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 1 this season.
Last 10 games against 2.5 · Oct 26, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -0.5 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2025-10-26 | NYG | 3 over | +0.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LV | 1 under | −1.5 |
| 2025-12-20 | WAS | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | WAS | 2 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | CAR | 1 under | −1.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 5 | 80% under | +0.7 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 80% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
2.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | vs CAR | 1 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs WAS | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-20 | @ WAS | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | vs LV | 1 | under |
| 2025-10-26 | vs NYG | 3 | over |