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Tee Higgins
CIN @ BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 64.5 · median of 10 books ·
51Signal · under 64.550% · 5 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
5 / 10Cleared the number in 5 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 8.6 a game recently
- vs BAL · ×1.02 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 86.6 yds against 64.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 64.5 · Nov 23, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -42| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | NE | 31 under | −33.5 |
| 2025-12-07 | BUF | 92 over | +27.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | MIA | 53 under | −11.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | ARI | 59 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CLE | 67 over | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | TB | 59 under | −5.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | HOU | 95 over | +30.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | PIT | 90 over | +25.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | JAX | 157 over | +92.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIA | 22 under | −42.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 5 / 10 | 50% | +8 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 50% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
10 books · 4 yds spread
- BetMGM 62.5
- DraftKings 63.5
- ESPN Bet 64.5
- Hard Rock Bet 64.5
- Fliff 64.5
- FanDuel 65.5
- PrizePicks 65.5
- betPARX 66.5
- BetRivers 66.5
- Bally Bet 66.5
Line movement
- FliffMoved from 65.5 to 64.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 65.5 to 64.5
- PrizePicksMoved from 54.5 to 65.5
- Bally BetMoved from 64.5 to 66.5
- betPARXMoved from 64.5 to 66.5
- BetRiversMoved from 64.5 to 66.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 64.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ MIA | 22 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | vs JAX | 157 | over |
| 2026-09-27 | @ PIT | 90 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ HOU | 95 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs TB | 59 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | vs CLE | 67 | over |
| 2025-12-28 | vs ARI | 59 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | @ MIA | 53 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ BUF | 92 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NE | 31 | under |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PIT | 63 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs CHI | 121 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | vs NYJ | 44 | under |
| 2025-10-16 | vs PIT | 96 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ GB | 62 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | vs DET | 22 | under |
| 2025-09-29 | @ DEN | 32 | under |
| 2025-09-21 | @ MIN | 15 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs JAX | 56 | under |
| 2025-09-07 | @ CLE | 33 | under |