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Tyjae Spears
TEN vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 12.5 ·
56Signal · under 12.570% · 7 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
3 / 10Cleared the number in 3 of 10 games
PrizePicks 12.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 2.8 a game recently
- vs CLE · ×0.98 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 12.3 yds against 12.5 · over 44%, under 56%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 12.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026
Worst miss -40 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | SF | 2 under | −10.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | KC | 53 over | +40.5 |
| 2025-12-28 | NO | -1 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | JAX | 9 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYJ | 12 under | −0.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | PHI | 29 over | +16.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYG | 0 under | −12.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | BAL | -1 under | −13.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | HOU | 28 over | +15.5 |
| 2026-10-18 | IND | 7 under | −5.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 7 / 10 | 70% under | -1 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 70% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
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Book Range
12.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 12.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | @ IND | 7 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs HOU | 28 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ BAL | -1 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | @ NYG | 0 | under |
| 2026-09-20 | vs PHI | 29 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NYJ | 12 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ JAX | 9 | under |
| 2025-12-28 | vs NO | -1 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs KC | 53 | over |
| 2025-12-14 | @ SF | 2 | under |
| 2025-12-07 | @ CLE | 28 | over |
| 2025-11-30 | vs JAX | 25 | over |
| 2025-11-23 | vs SEA | 21 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | vs HOU | 31 | over |
| 2025-11-02 | vs LAC | 36 | over |
| 2025-10-26 | @ IND | 23 | over |
| 2025-10-19 | vs NE | 18 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ LV | 19 | over |
| 2025-10-05 | @ ARI | 0 | under |