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Tyler Shough

NO vs PIT · Sun 9:30 AM ET

Interceptions Thrown · 0.5 at DraftKings ·

51Signal · under 0.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games

How the formula reads this game

  • pass attempts: 39.2 a game recently

Expected interceptions thrown: 0.8 against 0.5 · over 49%, under 51%

Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.

Last 10 games against 0.5 · Dec 14, 2025 – Oct 18, 2026

Worst miss -1.5 on the under
0.52025-12-14 vs CAR: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50CAR2025-12-21 vs NYJ: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50NYJ2025-12-28 at TEN: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50TEN2026-01-04 at ATL: 1, over 0.5 by 0.51ATL2026-09-13 at DET: 2, over 0.5 by 1.52DET2026-09-20 at BAL: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50BAL2026-09-27 vs LV: 1, over 0.5 by 0.51LV2026-10-05 vs ATL: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50ATL2026-10-11 vs MIN: 2, over 0.5 by 1.52MIN2026-10-18 at NYG: 0, under 0.5 by 0.50NYG
Each game against 0.5
DateOpponentResultMargin
2025-12-14CAR0 under−0.5
2025-12-21NYJ0 under−0.5
2025-12-28TEN0 under−0.5
2026-01-04ATL1 over+0.5
2026-09-13DET2 over+1.5
2026-09-20BAL0 under−0.5
2026-09-27LV1 over+0.5
2026-10-05ATL0 under−0.5
2026-10-11MIN2 over+1.5
2026-10-18NYG0 under−0.5

Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made

Splits

WindowHitsRateAvg margin for the under
Last 5 (with DPB Pro) Pro
Last 106 / 1060% under-0.1
Last 20 (with DPB Pro) Pro
This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) Pro
Home (with DPB Pro) Pro

See whether the 60% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range

0.54 books, no line disagreementMGM · HR · DK · FL

Line movement

No book has moved its number since first posting it.

Game log

DateOpponentResultvs 0.5
2026-10-18@ NYG0under
2026-10-11vs MIN2over
2026-10-05vs ATL0under
2026-09-27vs LV1over
2026-09-20@ BAL0under
2026-09-13@ DET2over
2026-01-04@ ATL1over
2025-12-28@ TEN0under
2025-12-21vs NYJ0under
2025-12-14vs CAR0under
2025-12-07@ TB1over
2025-11-30@ MIA1over
2025-11-23vs ATL1over
2025-11-09@ CAR0under
2025-11-02@ LA1over
2025-10-26vs TB1over
2025-09-21@ SEA0under