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Will Kacmarek
MIA @ IND · Sun 1:00 PM ETReceiving Yards · 3.5 ·
49Signal · over 3.567% · 4 / 6 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 6Cleared the number in 4 of 6 games, 4 without a result
PrizePicks 3.5 ·
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 1.5 a game recently
- vs IND · ×1.03 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 5.2 yds against 3.5 · over 49%, under 51%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 6 games, 6 this season.
Last 10 games against 3.5 · Sep 13, 2026 – Nov 8, 2026
Worst miss -3| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| — | — | no result | — |
| 2026-09-13 | LV | 0 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | SF | 4 over | +0.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIN | 15 over | +11.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | CIN | 5 over | +1.5 |
| 2026-11-01 | NE | 0 under | −3.5 |
| 2026-11-08 | DET | 6 over | +2.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the over |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 4 / 6 | 67% over | +2 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Away (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 67% survives the other windows → The four windows all agree with it within 20 points; DPB Pro shows each one.
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Book Range
3.5PrizePicks· one book
Line movement
No book has moved its number since first posting it.
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 3.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | vs DET | 6 | over |
| 2026-11-01 | vs NE | 0 | under |
| 2026-10-11 | vs CIN | 5 | over |
| 2026-10-04 | @ MIN | 15 | over |
| 2026-09-20 | @ SF | 4 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | @ LV | 0 | under |