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Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET vs GB · Sun 4:25 PM ETReceiving Yards · 79.5 · median of 11 books ·
56Signal · under 79.560% · 6 / 10 · last 10 · the formula's chance
4 / 10Cleared the number in 4 of 10 games
How the formula reads this game
- targets: 11.4 a game recently
- vs GB · ×0.99 yds per target
Expected receiving yards: 73.5 yds against 79.5 · over 44%, under 56%
Provisional: Formula v2 has not yet beaten the books' own lines on a week it never saw, so the Signal is held between 30 and 70. Its record. Baseline: 5 games, 5 this season.
Last 10 games against 79.5 · Dec 4, 2025 – Oct 11, 2026
Worst miss -84 on the under| Date | Opponent | Result | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | DAL | 92 over | +12.5 |
| 2025-12-14 | LA | 164 over | +84.5 |
| 2025-12-21 | PIT | 54 under | −25.5 |
| 2025-12-25 | MIN | 68 under | −11.5 |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI | 139 over | +59.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO | 67 under | −12.5 |
| 2026-09-17 | BUF | 142 over | +62.5 |
| 2026-09-27 | NYJ | 19 under | −60.5 |
| 2026-10-04 | CAR | 75 under | −4.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | ARI | 69 under | −10.5 |
Historical result — not a prediction. How the numbers are made
Splits
| Window | Hits | Rate | Avg margin for the under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Last 10 | 6 / 10 | 60% under | -9 |
| Last 20 (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| This season (2026) (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
| Home (with DPB Pro) | Pro | ||
See whether the 60% survives the other windows → One of the four windows disagrees by 20 points or more. Last 5, last 20, this season and the venue split come with DPB Pro.
Try every Pro feature free for 7 days, no card
Book Range
11 books · 2 yds spreadEasiest number for the under: 80.5
- FanDuel 78.5
- Fliff 78.5
- PrizePicks 78.5
- betPARX 79.5
- BetRivers 79.5
- BetMGM 79.5
- Hard Rock Bet 79.5
- Bally Bet 79.5
- ESPN Bet 79.5
- Underdog 79.5
- DraftKings 80.5 (easiest number)
Line movement
- PrizePicksMoved from 82.5 to 78.5
- Hard Rock BetMoved from 78.5 to 79.5
- DraftKingsMoved from 78.5 to 80.5
Game log
| Date | Opponent | Result | vs 79.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | @ ARI | 69 | under |
| 2026-10-04 | @ CAR | 75 | under |
| 2026-09-27 | vs NYJ | 19 | under |
| 2026-09-17 | @ BUF | 142 | over |
| 2026-09-13 | vs NO | 67 | under |
| 2026-01-04 | @ CHI | 139 | over |
| 2025-12-25 | @ MIN | 68 | under |
| 2025-12-21 | vs PIT | 54 | under |
| 2025-12-14 | @ LA | 164 | over |
| 2025-12-04 | vs DAL | 92 | over |
| 2025-11-27 | vs GB | 0 | under |
| 2025-11-23 | vs NYG | 149 | over |
| 2025-11-16 | @ PHI | 42 | under |
| 2025-11-09 | @ WAS | 58 | under |
| 2025-11-02 | vs MIN | 97 | over |
| 2025-10-20 | vs TB | 86 | over |
| 2025-10-12 | @ KC | 45 | under |
| 2025-10-05 | @ CIN | 100 | over |
| 2025-09-28 | vs CLE | 70 | under |
| 2025-09-22 | @ BAL | 77 | under |
| 2025-09-14 | vs CHI | 115 | over |
| 2025-09-07 | @ GB | 45 | under |